Job Market Paper
- An Empirical Equilibrium Model of the Markets for Owner-Occupied and Rental Housing
[Draft coming soon]
Abstract: A large and growing share of households rent from private landlords. I empirically analyze how landlords affect welfare and housing affordability by influencing rents, prices, and the allocation of houses between the rental and owner-occupied sectors in the presence of household borrowing constraints. I begin by documenting three key facts that point to the impact of landlords on the housing market: (i) housing quality is segmented between the rental and owner-occupied sectors, with rentals generally offering lower quality, (ii) cities with more pronounced quality segmentation tend to have higher rent-to-price ratios, and (iii) in more segmented cities landlords have lower assets. To quantify the effect of landlords on the housing market, I develop and estimate a two-sided assignment model which features households' optimal choice of housing quality and tenure (i.e., the choice to rent or own) in the presence of borrowing constraints, landlords' profit-maximizing choice of quality to rent out, and endogenous quality segmentation and rent-to-price ratios which are determined in equilibrium. Based on counterfactual experiments I show that landlord heterogeneity matters. Differences in landlord costs of capital explain much of the variation in quality segmentation and rent-to-price ratios observed across cities. This in turn affects the distribution of welfare between renters and owner-occupiers. Furthermore, differences in landlord costs moderate the equilibrium impact of taxes on rental income.
Work in Progress
- Lessees and Landlords: Regulating the Buy-to-Let Mortgage Market in the UK
- The Anatomy of a Shock to Residential Real Estate with Benjamin Guin and Liam Clark
- Welfare and Distributional Consequences of Constrained College Admissions Under Uncertainty with Rebecca Rose
Publications
- Risk Differentials between Green and Brown Assets with Benjamin Guin and Perttu Korhonen
Economics Letters, April 2022
[Paper Link] - Publishing and Promotion in Economics: The Tyranny of the Top Five. with James J. Heckman
Journal of Economic Literature, June 2020
[Paper Link] - Evaluation of the Reggio Approach to Early Education. with Heckman, J. J., Biroli, P., Del Boca, D., Heckman, L. P., Koh, Y. K., Kuperman, S., Pronzato, C. D., and Ziff, A. L.
Research in Economics 2017
[Paper Link]